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Tinubu to Present 2026 Budget Without 2025 Performance Report, BudgIT Raises Transparency Concerns

  • dollaers
  • December 19, 2025
  • Budget
  • 0 comments

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu is set to present the 2026 Appropriation Bill to the National Assembly on Friday, December 19, even as the Federal Government has yet to publish a performance report on the implementation of the 2025 budget. The development has reignited concerns around fiscal transparency, accountability, and legislative oversight in Nigeria’s public finance management.

The disclosure was made on Thursday by BudgIT, a leading civic technology organisation focused on public finance reforms. In a post shared on its verified X handle, @BudgITng, the organisation stated that the 2026 budget would be presented without Nigerians having access to information on how the current year’s budget has performed.

“The 2026 budget is almost here, yet we don’t know how the 2025 budget performed. No report. No accountability,” BudgIT wrote, warning that the absence of a performance review undermines public confidence and weakens democratic accountability.

Why the performance report matters

According to BudgIT, budget implementation and performance reports are a critical accountability tool that should precede the presentation of any new budget proposal. Such reports provide insights into how approved revenues were generated, how funds were spent, and whether spending translated into tangible economic and social outcomes.

Without this information, lawmakers are left to debate and approve a new budget without a clear understanding of implementation gaps, funding shortfalls, or policy failures from the outgoing fiscal year. For the civic organisation, this practice weakens legislative scrutiny and erodes public trust, particularly at a time when Nigeria faces mounting fiscal pressure, rising debt service costs, and persistent development challenges.

BudgIT has also recently expressed concern over a government directive instructing Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) to roll over unimplemented capital projects into the next fiscal year. The group warned that annual budgets are not designed to be carried forward wholesale, arguing that such practices blur fiscal timelines and reduce accountability.

Three budgets running simultaneously

The concerns are further compounded by what analysts describe as Nigeria’s increasingly irregular budgeting practice, where multiple budgets effectively run at the same time.

In recent years, the Federal Government has operated main budgets alongside supplementary budgets while carrying over uncompleted projects from previous years. As a result, Nigeria is currently implementing the 2025 budget, parts of the 2024 supplementary budget, and outstanding components of the 2024 main budget.

This overlap amounts to three concurrent budgets within a single fiscal year, a situation analysts say points to serious weaknesses in budget execution, cash management, and revenue forecasting.

What you should know

Last week, the Federal Government issued a circular directing MDAs to carry over 70 percent of their approved 2025 capital allocations into the 2026 budget. Under the directive, MDAs are required to base their 2026 capital proposals largely on funds already approved for 2025, with no room for new capital projects.

Under the new framework:

  • Only 30 percent of 2025 capital allocations will be disbursed this year.

  • The remaining 70 percent will form the backbone of the 2026 capital budget.

  • Recurrent (overhead) spending must remain within 2025 ceilings, despite rising inflation and cost pressures.

The government argues that this approach will reduce duplication, curb wasteful spending, and ensure better value for money in the face of constrained revenues.

However, the policy has raised critical questions, especially given recent reforms such as fuel subsidy removal, record tax collections, exchange-rate liberalisation, and increased domestic and external borrowing.

The bigger picture

Nigeria’s National Assembly approved a revised budget of ₦54.9 trillion for 2025, with ₦14.85 trillion earmarked for capital expenditure covering infrastructure, power, transportation, and other development projects. Analysts question why capital spending is being deferred when official figures suggest revenue performance has improved significantly.

According to BudgIT’s publication, How FG’s Finances Performed in 2024, federal government revenue rose sharply from about ₦3 trillion in 2020 to roughly ₦20.98 trillion in 2024, driven by higher VAT collections, customs receipts, and subsidy savings. Over the same period, however, total expenditure surged from about ₦10 trillion to ₦34 trillion.

Fiscal analysts argue that Nigeria’s core challenge is not revenue generation but unchecked expenditure growth. This view reinforces BudgIT’s call for timely budget performance reports and greater transparency as the country prepares to debate yet another record-sized budget.

NELFUND Explains Temporary Exclusion of Private University Students from Federal Student Loan Scheme

  • dollaers
  • December 18, 2025
  • Education
  • 0 comments

The Managing Director of the Nigerian Education Loan Fund (NELFUND), Mr. Akintunde Sawyerr, has provided clarity on why students enrolled in private universities are currently excluded from the federal government’s student loan programme, stressing that the decision is temporary and driven by practical constraints rather than policy bias.

Speaking during an interview on Arise Television, Sawyerr addressed growing public concerns around fairness and access, particularly from families whose children attend private tertiary institutions. According to him, the present scope of the loan scheme reflects funding limitations, high tuition costs in private universities, and gaps in reliable data on students’ financial capacity.

He explained that private universities generally charge significantly higher fees than public institutions, making it more difficult to design a sustainable loan structure within the fund’s current financial resources. In addition, Sawyerr noted that NELFUND does not yet have sufficient data to accurately assess the financial backgrounds of students in private institutions, which complicates the targeting of loans to those who need them most.

“The private sector institutions tend to charge more. We also don’t have accurate information about the financial capacity of people,” he said, adding that these challenges influenced the initial rollout of the scheme.

As a result, NELFUND has adopted what Sawyerr described as a “blunt instrument” approach in the early phase of implementation. Under this model, priority is given to students in public institutions, based on the assumption that those who attend public universities are more likely to come from lower-income backgrounds.

“We are using a little bit of a blunt instrument at the moment to say, look, people who are short of money tend to go to the public sector,” he explained.

However, Sawyerr was quick to emphasise that private university students have not been permanently excluded. He said discussions with Bola Ahmed Tinubu, who championed the student loan initiative, point to a broader long-term vision of universal access.

“The exclusion is a temporal thing in my view,” he said. “Once we’ve been able to cover those who really need it, then we will look at those.”

According to him, the president’s intent is for all Nigerians, regardless of the type of institution they attend, to eventually benefit from the scheme. Achieving this, however, will require additional resources and, potentially, amendments to the existing law establishing the loan fund.

“And I think that will happen when the resources are there. I think that we will have to go back and amend the law so that all can get it. The point is, there is political will to support every Nigerian having access to this loan,” Sawyerr added.

Addressing fears that the scheme could be politicised or manipulated to favour children of politically connected individuals, Sawyerr insisted that the application process is strictly neutral. He explained that the NELFUND portal does not collect information related to political affiliation, ethnicity, or region.

“It is totally agnostic. When you go to that portal, it doesn’t ask you whether you’re a member of a political party. It doesn’t ask you whether you’re a member of a particular tribe,” he said, describing the programme as a national welfare initiative open to all eligible Nigerians.

He further noted that NELFUND has no mechanism for identifying applicants based on political leanings, adding that such data is neither requested nor processed during application reviews.

Providing broader context, Sawyerr said the student loan scheme was designed in response to Nigeria’s demographic realities and persistent funding challenges in the education sector. With more than 70 percent of Nigeria’s estimated 230 million population under the age of 35, demand for tertiary education far outstrips available public funding.

“We are a nation with a very high number of youth,” he said, noting that financial barriers prevent many young Nigerians from attaining higher education. The law establishing NELFUND, he explained, seeks to expand access to tertiary education within a resource-constrained environment while also addressing chronic underfunding in publicly owned institutions.

He added that public universities have suffered years of inadequate funding, making student support interventions such as loans even more critical.

Recent data from NELFUND underscores the scale of demand for the programme. As of December 18, 2025, the fund had received a total of 1,274,144 applications since the launch of its portal on May 24, 2024. Of these, 788,947 students have been approved as beneficiaries. On December 17 alone, 4,144 new applications were submitted, reflecting continued uptake.

In terms of disbursements, NELFUND has provided financial support to 262 institutions nationwide. Institutional fees paid so far amount to N82.35 billion, while upkeep allowances for students total N72.03 billion, bringing cumulative disbursements to N154.37 billion.

While private university students remain outside the current scope, NELFUND insists the framework is evolving. As funding expands and better data systems are developed, the scheme’s coverage is expected to widen, aligning with the long-term goal of making tertiary education accessible to all Nigerians, regardless of where they choose to study.

Access Holdings Shareholders Greenlight N40 Billion Equity Raise to Bolster Capital and Support Expansion

  • dollaers
  • December 18, 2025
  • Bank
  • 0 comments

Shareholders of Access Holdings Plc have approved plans for the company to raise up to N40 billion in fresh equity capital, giving the board broad powers to execute a private placement aimed at strengthening the group’s balance sheet and supporting its long-term growth ambitions.

The approval was secured at an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) held virtually on Thursday, December 18, 2025, according to a corporate disclosure filed with Nigerian Exchange Limited. The filing, jointly signed by the company secretary and a director, confirmed that shareholders endorsed all resolutions presented at the meeting, clearing the way for another round of capital strengthening at one of Nigeria’s largest financial groups.

At the centre of the resolutions is the authorisation for Access Holdings to raise up to N40 billion, or its equivalent in foreign currency, through a private placement. Shareholders granted the board extensive discretion to determine the final structure, timing, size, and investor mix for the transaction, subject to obtaining the required regulatory approvals.

Under the approved framework, the board has been empowered to allot newly created ordinary shares at a reference price of N20.25 per share, or at such other price as it may deem appropriate, depending on market conditions and investor negotiations. The shares may be issued to one or more investors in tranches, a flexibility that allows the company to optimise pricing and align the capital raise with prevailing market sentiment and strategic priorities.

To accommodate the private placement, shareholders also approved an increase in the company’s issued share capital from N26.66 billion to N27.65 billion. This will be achieved through the creation of approximately 1.98 billion new ordinary shares of 50 kobo each. Once fully issued, Access Holdings’ total outstanding shares will rise from about 53.32 billion to roughly 55.29 billion ordinary shares.

The newly created shares will rank pari passu with existing shares, meaning they will carry the same rights to dividends and voting as those already in issue. While this structure implies potential dilution for existing shareholders, the final impact will depend on the actual size of the placement and how much of the authorised shares are ultimately allotted. The board was also authorised to cancel any unallotted shares or further increase the share capital if necessary to complete the exercise.

Beyond the capital raise itself, shareholders granted the board wide-ranging powers to negotiate with prospective investors, appoint professional advisers, finalise valuation and transaction terms, and execute all agreements required to consummate the deal. This includes securing approvals from key regulators such as the Central Bank of Nigeria, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the NGX, reflecting Access Holdings’ status as a regulated financial holding company with banking and non-banking subsidiaries.

The company secretary was also mandated to file the necessary post-transaction documentation with the Corporate Affairs Commission, including amendments to the company’s Memorandum and Articles of Association to reflect the enlarged share capital.

The latest capital-raising move comes against the backdrop of heightened capital pressures across Nigeria’s financial services industry. Banks and financial holding companies are facing a combination of currency volatility, evolving regulatory expectations, and rising funding requirements driven by expansion across banking, payments, asset management, and other financial services segments.

By opting for a private placement rather than a broad-based public offer, Access Holdings appears to be targeting strategic or institutional investors capable of providing not just capital, but also long-term stability and potentially strategic value. Such investors could help deepen the quality of the group’s shareholder base while limiting the execution risks often associated with larger public offers.

Shareholders at the EGM also ratified all steps already taken by the board in connection with the proposed transaction, effectively removing the final procedural obstacles to implementation. With the mandate now in hand, attention in the market is expected to shift to the identity of potential investors, the pace of execution, and how the additional capital will be deployed across the group’s operations.

The approval builds on Access Holdings’ aggressive capital-raising efforts earlier in the year. In 2025, the group completed a landmark rights issue that raised N351 billion, lifting its share capitalisation to N600 billion and making it the first Tier 1 banking group to surpass the regulator’s N500 billion capital benchmark. That transaction significantly strengthened the group’s balance sheet and supported its expansion following a series of domestic and international acquisitions.

The proposed N40 billion private placement will further expand the company’s equity base, adding close to two billion shares if fully allotted. While the growing share count raises concerns around dilution and future share restructuring, management views the additional capital as critical to sustaining growth, enhancing resilience, and positioning Access Holdings to compete effectively in an increasingly complex and capital-intensive financial services landscape.

Fidson Healthcare Kicks Off N21 Billion Rights Issue to Strengthen Market Leadership and Fuel African Expansion

  • dollaers
  • December 18, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

Fidson Healthcare Plc has formally set the stage for the launch of its N21 billion Rights Issue, marking a major milestone in the company’s growth strategy and reaffirming its ambition to consolidate leadership in Nigeria’s pharmaceutical sector while expanding its footprint across Africa.

The company on Friday, December 12, 2025, held a signing ceremony at its head office in Lagos to signal the commencement of the Rights Issue process, subject to final regulatory approvals from the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Nigerian Exchange Limited. The ceremony brought together Fidson’s board and executive management, as well as representatives of its financial advisers and issuing houses, underscoring the strategic importance of the capital raise.

Under the offer, Fidson Healthcare plans to issue 600 million new ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at an offer price of N35 per share, targeting gross proceeds of up to N21 billion. The new shares are being offered to existing shareholders on the basis of one new ordinary share for every four ordinary shares held as of the close of business on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, which serves as the qualification date for the offer.

The Rights Issue is designed to provide fresh capital to support the company’s next phase of growth, with a strong focus on expanding manufacturing capacity, accelerating product innovation, and deepening market penetration within Nigeria and across selected African markets. Management described the transaction as a natural progression in Fidson’s long-term strategy, particularly in light of its strong recent financial performance and growing regional relevance.

The timing of the capital raise is anchored on Fidson’s impressive operating and financial momentum. For the nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, the company delivered a remarkable 132% year-on-year increase in profit after tax, which rose to N7.97 billion. This was driven by a robust 56% increase in revenue to N93.08 billion, reflecting sustained demand for its products and wider distribution reach. Operating profit also surged by 92% to N16.95 billion, highlighting significant efficiency gains, scale benefits, and disciplined cost management.

These results, according to management, demonstrate Fidson’s ability to translate growth in volumes and market access into strong earnings, reinforcing investor confidence ahead of the Rights Issue. The N21 billion capital injection is expected to further strengthen this trajectory by enabling capacity upgrades, technology investments, and the development of new product lines that meet evolving healthcare needs across the continent.

Speaking at the signing ceremony, the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Biola Adebayo, described the Rights Issue as a defining moment for the company. He noted that the successful formalisation of the offer reflects Fidson’s readiness to scale up operations and compete more effectively on a pan-African level.

According to him, the fresh capital will help cement Fidson’s position as Nigeria’s foremost healthcare manufacturing company while supporting its ambition to become a dominant pharmaceutical player across Africa. He added that the company’s exceptional performance in 2025 has validated its strategy and execution capabilities, providing a strong foundation for accelerated and sustainable growth.

Also speaking at the event, the Finance Director, Imokha Ayebae, emphasised that the Rights Issue has been carefully structured to be attractive and accessible to existing shareholders. He explained that the offer price represents a compelling entry point, while the use of proceeds has been clearly defined to ensure optimal value creation.

He encouraged eligible shareholders to exercise their provisional allotment rights during the offer period, noting that the funds would be deployed judiciously to enhance operational efficiency, expand manufacturing capacity, upgrade technology, and broaden the company’s product portfolio.

The Rights Issue is being led by CardinalStone Partners Limited, whose Chief Executive Officer, Michael Nzewi, highlighted Fidson’s strong equity market journey. He pointed out that the company’s previous equity offering in 2019 was priced at N4.50 per share, compared with the current offer price of N35, underscoring the significant growth in shareholder value over the period. He added that the current offer, which is at a discount to the prevailing market price, reflects both Fidson’s growth story and the attractiveness of its shares as a long-term investment.

Shareholders whose names appear on the register as of the qualification date are advised to complete the official participation form and submit it, along with full payment, through their stockbrokers or designated receiving agents before the closing date stated in the Rights Circular.

With this Rights Issue, Fidson Healthcare is positioning itself to deepen its leadership in pharmaceutical manufacturing, drive innovation, empower its workforce, and deliver sustainable long-term value to shareholders, while playing a broader role in strengthening healthcare delivery across Nigeria and the African continent.

Guinea Insurance Moves to Raise N15 Billion Equity to Meet NAICOM Capital Threshold and Strengthen Balance Sheet

  • dollaers
  • December 18, 2025
  • Business, Finance
  • 0 comments

Guinea Insurance Plc has taken a decisive step toward regulatory compliance and long-term growth by authorising a capital raise of up to N15 billion. The move is aimed at meeting the revised minimum capital requirements set by Nigeria’s insurance regulator, strengthening the company’s financial position, and providing room for strategic expansion in an increasingly competitive insurance market.

The approval was granted at the company’s Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM), which was held virtually on Wednesday, December 17, 2025. According to a regulatory filing submitted to Nigerian Exchange Limited, shareholders unanimously passed all resolutions presented by the Board of Directors, signalling strong investor support for the recapitalisation plan.

In a statement signed by Company Secretary, Chinenye Nwankwo, Guinea Insurance confirmed that the additional equity capital would be raised through a combination of a Rights Issue and a Private Placement. The specific terms, including pricing, allotment structure, and implementation timetable, will be determined by the Board, subject to regulatory approvals and prevailing market conditions.

According to the company, the primary objective of the capital raise is to ensure full compliance with statutory capital requirements, reinforce the insurer’s balance sheet, and position the business to pursue its strategic growth agenda. The Board emphasised that the flexibility embedded in the funding structure would allow Guinea Insurance to act in the best interest of shareholders while navigating current market realities.

Share capital expansion and rights issue approval

As part of the resolutions passed at the EGM, shareholders approved a significant increase in the company’s issued share capital. Guinea Insurance’s minimum issued share capital will rise from N4 billion — previously made up of 8 billion ordinary shares of 50 kobo each — to N19 billion, comprising 38 billion ordinary shares of the same nominal value.

To support this expansion, directors were authorised to issue up to 5.29 billion ordinary shares via a Rights Issue, subject to approvals from relevant regulators. Shareholders also agreed to waive their pre-emptive rights on any unsubscribed shares, empowering the Board to allocate such shares to new or existing investors through a private placement arrangement. This flexibility is intended to ensure the full success of the capital-raising exercise, even if existing shareholders do not take up their full entitlements.

The Board was further authorised to appoint professional advisers and take all necessary steps to meet regulatory requirements and execute the transaction efficiently. This includes engagement with capital market operators, regulators, and other stakeholders critical to the process.

Private placement and constitutional amendments

In a special resolution, shareholders approved the issuance of up to 6.32 billion ordinary shares of 50 kobo each at an offer price of N1.45 per share through a private placement. The newly issued shares will rank pari passu with existing shares, ensuring equal rights with respect to dividends, voting, and other shareholder benefits.

To reflect the enlarged capital structure, amendments were approved to the company’s Memorandum and Articles of Association. Clause 6 of the Memorandum and Article 3 of the Articles were updated to reflect the new minimum issued share capital of N19 billion. An additional sub-clause was also inserted to formally document the special resolution passed on December 17, 2025, which created 30 billion new ordinary shares as part of the recapitalisation.

Regulatory backdrop and sector-wide implications

Guinea Insurance’s capital raise is part of a broader industry-wide recapitalisation triggered by a directive issued in August by the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM). The regulator increased minimum capital requirements across the sector by fivefold, giving insurers a 12-month window to comply or risk losing their operating licences.

Under the new framework, non-life insurers are required to raise their capital base from N3 billion to N15 billion, life insurers from N2 billion to N10 billion, and reinsurers from N10 billion to N35 billion. NAICOM has stated that the policy is designed to enhance the industry’s risk-bearing capacity, improve claims settlement, and restore investor and policyholder confidence.

In November, NAICOM disclosed that 18 insurance companies had already indicated readiness to undergo capital verification — a key milestone in the ongoing recapitalisation process. Speaking at the EY Insurance Summit 2025, NAICOM’s Chief Executive Officer, Olusegun Omosehin, described the industry’s response as encouraging, noting that stronger capital buffers would ultimately lead to a more resilient and credible insurance sector.

For Guinea Insurance, the N15 billion equity raise represents both a regulatory necessity and a strategic opportunity. If successfully executed, it is expected to enhance the company’s competitive positioning, support underwriting capacity, and create a more robust platform for sustainable growth in Nigeria’s evolving insurance landscape.

MTN Nigeria, Dangote Cement, Guinness, Okomu Oil Earn Strong 2026 Buy Ratings on Earnings Upside and Pricing Power

  • dollaers
  • December 18, 2025
  • Business, Stocks
  • 0 comments

Four heavyweight stocks on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) — MTN Nigeria Plc, Dangote Cement Plc, Guinness Nigeria Plc, and Okomu Oil Palm Plc — have emerged as top equity picks for 2026, according to Financial Derivatives Company (FDC). The recommendation underscores rising optimism around selected Nigerian blue-chip stocks as macroeconomic conditions show early signs of stabilisation and corporate earnings visibility improves.

The bullish outlook was shared by Bismarck Rewane, Chief Executive Officer of Financial Derivatives Company, during his presentation at the Lagos Business School Breakfast Session themed “2026: The New Geo-Strategic Dispensation.” Rewane said the four stocks stand out for their combination of scale, market dominance, earnings momentum, and pricing power — qualities he believes will be increasingly valuable as investors position for medium-term growth.

According to Rewane, the common thread linking the stocks is their exposure to consolidated industries, where competition is rational and pricing discipline is easier to sustain. He also pointed to improving macroeconomic tailwinds, including relative foreign exchange stability, easing inflation pressures, and the possibility of interest rate moderation, as supportive factors for equity valuations in 2026. However, he cautioned that timing and entry prices remain critical, as monetary and FX dynamics will ultimately determine how much of the upside materialises.

MTN Nigeria: Data-led growth underpins earnings momentum

FDC’s positive stance on MTN Nigeria is anchored on its dominant market position and accelerating transition to data-driven revenues. Nigeria’s telecommunications sector has become increasingly consolidated, with MTN Nigeria, Airtel Africa, and Globacom accounting for the majority of subscribers. This structure limits destructive price wars and enhances earnings stability.

FDC projects MTN Nigeria’s revenue to climb to N7.8 trillion by 2026, representing a 58% increase, driven by rising data consumption, deeper smartphone penetration, and the expansion of digital and fintech services. Profit after tax is forecast at N1.44 trillion, up 44%, supported by tariff adjustments, operational efficiency, and higher-margin data revenues. Trading at an estimated price-to-earnings ratio of about 14x, MTN Nigeria is viewed as attractively valued given its double-digit earnings growth and defensive characteristics.

Dangote Cement: Consolidation and infrastructure spending drive upside

Dangote Cement’s appeal, according to FDC, lies in the highly consolidated nature of Nigeria’s cement industry. Dominated by Dangote Cement, BUA Cement, and Lafarge Africa, the sector benefits from pricing discipline and strong earnings visibility. FDC forecasts Dangote Cement’s 2026 revenue at N5.3 trillion, up 27%, with profit after tax expected to rise 44% to N1.4 trillion.

At an estimated P/E of 13.5x, Rewane argues the stock does not fully reflect its earnings growth potential. Key upside drivers include expanded clinker exports, government-led infrastructure spending, improved energy efficiency, and tighter cost controls. While exposure to FX and interest rate risks remains, FDC believes Dangote Cement’s scale and pricing power make it the preferred play in the sector.

Okomu Oil Palm: Strong commodity fundamentals amplify profits

Okomu Oil Palm Plc was identified as a standout agribusiness stock benefiting from favourable palm oil prices, operational efficiency, and supportive trade policies. The local palm oil industry remains fragmented, but Okomu Oil and Presco Plc have emerged as dominant, vertically integrated players.

FDC estimates Okomu Oil’s revenue will reach N351 billion in 2026, a 62% increase, while profit after tax is projected to surge 121% to N161 billion. Tariffs on imported crude palm oil continue to support elevated domestic prices, strengthening margins. Although the stock trades at around 16.4x earnings and remains sensitive to FX movements, FDC views its risk-reward profile as compelling.

Guinness Nigeria: Pricing power in a challenging consumer landscape

Guinness Nigeria rounds out FDC’s 2026 buy list, with Rewane highlighting its strong brand equity, premium product mix, and extensive distribution network. Nigeria’s brewing industry is also highly consolidated, allowing leading players to implement price increases without severe volume erosion.

FDC forecasts Guinness Nigeria’s revenue at N704 billion, up 42%, while profit after tax is expected to grow 35% to N21.6 billion. Trading at roughly 12.2x earnings, the stock is considered attractively priced despite ongoing risks from high interest rates and FX volatility.

Market performance context

On the NGX, MTN Nigeria currently ranks as the second most valuable stock with a market capitalisation of N11.2 trillion, while Dangote Cement follows closely with N10.4 trillion. Okomu Oil Palm and Guinness Nigeria, though smaller by market value, have delivered strong year-to-date gains, reflecting growing investor appetite for companies with earnings resilience and pricing power.

Overall, FDC’s outlook suggests that selective exposure to fundamentally strong, well-positioned Nigerian equities could offer meaningful upside in 2026, especially if macroeconomic stability continues to improve and corporate earnings remain on an upward trajectory.

LagRide Lands $100 Million UBA Financing to Scale Drive-To-Own Model and Deepen Lagos Mobility Reform

  • dollaers
  • December 17, 2025
  • Finance
  • 0 comments

The Lagos State Government–backed e-hailing platform, LagRide, has secured a $100 million financing facility from United Bank for Africa (UBA) to significantly expand its Drive-To-Own programme, marking one of the largest structured financings yet in Nigeria’s urban mobility space. The funding is expected to accelerate LagRide’s efforts to move thousands of drivers away from daily rental arrangements and toward long-term vehicle ownership and small business formation.

In a statement released on Tuesday, LagRide said the financing would support the transition of approximately 3,500 drivers into asset ownership over time. Under the Drive-To-Own scheme, eligible drivers—known on the platform as “Captains”—are able to convert regular driving income into structured repayment plans that eventually result in full ownership of vehicles. The model is designed to replace informal and often exploitative rental systems with a more predictable, transparent, and bankable pathway to ownership.

The deal reflects growing confidence by major financial institutions in technology-enabled mobility platforms that can aggregate data, enforce operational discipline, and reduce credit risk. For banks, these platforms provide a scalable way to finance thousands of small operators who would otherwise struggle to access formal credit individually.

Explaining the vision behind the programme, LagRide’s Chairman, Chief Diana Chen, said the platform was deliberately structured to help drivers move up the economic value chain rather than remain perpetual renters. According to her, LagRide’s long-term ambition is to transform drivers into entrepreneurs who can own multiple vehicles, manage teams, and eventually become investors and partners within the mobility ecosystem.

“LagRide was created to give Lagos a modern, disciplined, and technology-driven mobility system while ensuring that drivers are not left behind,” Chen said. She added that the Drive-To-Own initiative is central to this mission, as it enables drivers to build assets, credit histories, and financial resilience. “This $100 million partnership with United Bank for Africa moves thousands of captains closer to owning productive assets, managing fleets, and building stronger financial futures.”

UBA’s Group Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Oliver Alawuba, described the mobility sector as a critical pillar of inclusive economic growth across Africa. He said the bank views LagRide as the kind of well-governed, data-driven platform capable of delivering both commercial returns and social impact. According to Alawuba, UBA’s support underscores its broader strategy of financing sectors that create jobs, formalise informal activities, and unlock productivity at scale.

At the operational level, LagRide’s Drive-To-Own programme relies on performance-based metrics such as trip completion, earnings consistency, and repayment discipline to determine eligibility and progression. Drivers who meet predefined criteria can transition from short-term rentals to structured ownership plans, with repayments deducted seamlessly from earnings. This approach helps lower default risk, a key challenge that has historically limited bank lending to individual transport operators.

The new financing will also allow LagRide to significantly expand the number of vehicles available under the programme, reducing drivers’ reliance on informal lenders or high-cost leasing arrangements. By acting as an intermediary between drivers and the banking system, LagRide aggregates operational data and enforces standards that individual drivers typically cannot provide on their own. Industry analysts say this model could gradually expand the pool of bankable transport operators and bring greater structure to urban mobility financing in Nigeria.

The funding comes at a time when LagRide is aggressively scaling its footprint. The company recently added 100 electric vehicles (EVs) to its fleet as part of a broader plan to roll out more than 3,000 EVs over the next three years. This initiative aligns with Lagos State’s push toward cleaner, smarter transportation and positions LagRide to capture a significant share of the city’s e-hailing market.

With competition from global and regional players such as Uber, Bolt, and inDrive intensifying, the UBA financing strengthens LagRide’s balance sheet and gives it the financial firepower to pursue both fleet expansion and driver empowerment simultaneously. If successfully executed, the Drive-To-Own model could redefine how mobility platforms in Nigeria and beyond balance profitability with inclusive growth, turning drivers into long-term stakeholders rather than disposable contractors.

NGX Edges Higher as Access Holdings Drives Heavy Trading Despite Flat Price Action

  • dollaers
  • December 17, 2025
  • Exchange Market
  • 0 comments

The Nigerian equities market closed Tuesday’s session on a cautiously positive note, with marginal gains recorded on the back of strong trading activity dominated by banking and consumer goods stocks. The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) All-Share Index (ASI) inched up by 0.01%, reflecting renewed investor interest in high-liquidity names, particularly Access Holdings Plc, which accounted for a significant share of total market turnover.

By the close of trading, the ASI rose by 21.23 basis points to settle at 149,459.11 points, while total market capitalisation also advanced slightly by 0.01% to N95.28 trillion. Although the headline performance appeared muted, underlying trading data showed a notable surge in activity, underscoring growing investor engagement despite the modest price movement.

Total market transactions reached 1.026 billion shares exchanged across 23,701 deals, with a combined value of N21.83 billion. Compared with the previous trading session, traded volume jumped sharply by 85.52%, while transaction value increased by 64.48%. However, the number of deals declined by 18.01%, suggesting that activity was driven by fewer but larger trades, largely from institutional investors.

Access Holdings emerged as the most actively traded stock of the day. Investors exchanged 385.83 million shares of the Tier-1 lender in 1,372 deals, with a total value of N7.72 billion. Despite the heavy turnover, the stock closed flat at N20.00 per share, indicating that the trades were largely driven by portfolio rebalancing rather than speculative price movements. Market watchers noted that the strong interest in Access Holdings highlights its role as a liquidity anchor for the broader market.

Banking and consumer goods stocks dominate
Trading activity during the session was heavily skewed toward the banking and consumer goods sectors, reflecting investors’ preference for fundamentally strong and liquid stocks. In addition to Access Holdings, other financial names such as Sterling Financial Holdings, FCMB Group, and First HoldCo recorded substantial volumes, pointing to sustained institutional interest in the financial services space.

In the consumer goods segment, renewed buying interest lifted Guinness Nigeria Plc, which gained 9.98% to close at N263.40. The rally in Guinness Nigeria reflected selective accumulation of quality consumer stocks amid expectations that easing inflation could gradually support margins and consumer demand.

Overall, a total of 129 listed equities participated in trading during the session, with market breadth closing positive. Thirty-one stocks recorded gains, while 26 stocks ended the day in negative territory, highlighting a relatively balanced but slightly bullish market tone.

Gainers and losers
Leading the gainers’ chart was Aluminium Extrusion Industries (ALEX), which surged by the maximum allowable 10% to close at N9.35 per share. Other notable gainers included MeCure Industries and Multiverse Mining & Exploration, both of which posted near-limit gains of 9.95%, closing at N45.85 and N12.15 respectively. Sovereign Trust Insurance also featured among the top performers, rising by 9.89% to N4.11.

On the downside, Haldane McCall recorded the steepest decline, shedding 9.93% to close at N3.72 per share. LivingTrust Mortgage Bank and Veritas Kapital Assurance both dropped by 9.09%, closing at N3.50 and N1.60 respectively, while Linkage Assurance and Champion Breweries also closed lower, reflecting profit-taking pressures in select names.

Sectoral performance and outlook
Performance across NGX sector indices was mixed but generally positive. The NGX Insurance Index advanced by 0.36%, while the Consumer Goods Index rose by 0.21%, extending its impressive year-to-date gain beyond 100%. The NGX Pension and Premium indices also closed slightly higher. In contrast, the NGX Top 30 Index dipped by 0.08%, and the Main Board Index edged down marginally by 0.01%.

With year-to-date market returns standing at an impressive 45.21%, analysts say the market remains firmly in bullish territory, even as investors become more selective. Strong liquidity, improving macro signals, and continued rotation into fundamentally sound, high-volume stocks are expected to keep sentiment cautiously optimistic in the near term, although intermittent profit-taking is likely to persist as valuations adjust.

Customs Intercepts N2.28 Billion in Undeclared Foreign Currency from Austrian Traveller at Lagos Airport

  • dollaers
  • December 17, 2025
  • Regulations
  • 0 comments

The Nigerian Customs Service has intercepted undeclared foreign currencies valued at approximately N2.28 billion from an Austrian national at the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA), Lagos, in a development that underscores Nigeria’s intensified crackdown on illicit financial flows at its international borders.

The suspect, identified as Mr. Kavlak Onal, was arrested while attempting to board a Dubai-bound flight operated by Emirates Airlines. Customs officials disclosed that the interception occurred during routine outbound passenger checks, as part of ongoing enforcement of foreign exchange and anti-money-laundering regulations.

Briefing journalists in Lagos on Tuesday, the Customs Area Controller of the MMIA Command, Comptroller Chidi Nwokorie, said officers of the command’s Anti-Money Laundering Unit apprehended the passenger on Saturday, December 13, after he failed to declare the large sums of cash in his possession. According to Nwokorie, the traveller was specifically asked whether he was carrying foreign currency in excess of the legal threshold, but he reportedly answered in the negative.

Following the denial, customs officers conducted a thorough search of the passenger’s luggage. The search uncovered 651,505 euros and 800,575 United States dollars concealed inside the travelling bag. When converted to naira, the combined amount was valued at about N2.28 billion, far exceeding the legally permitted declaration limit of $10,000 or its equivalent for outbound travellers.

Nwokorie explained that while carrying large sums of foreign currency is not automatically an offence under Nigerian law, failure to properly declare such funds constitutes a serious violation. “The offence is not in carrying the money, but in failing to declare it or making a false declaration,” he said, adding that customs officers acted strictly within the confines of the law.

He cited several legal provisions underpinning the seizure, including Section 12 of the Foreign Exchange (Monitoring and Miscellaneous Provisions) Act of 1995, Sections 3(3–5) of the Money Laundering (Prevention and Prohibition) Act of 2022, and Section 55(1) of the Nigeria Customs Service Act of 2023. These statutes, he noted, empower customs authorities to intercept undeclared funds and prevent the illegal movement of capital across Nigeria’s borders.

The comptroller further revealed that officers resisted attempts at compromise during the operation, stressing that professionalism and integrity guided the successful interception. He urged travellers to comply fully with currency declaration requirements at designated desks within airport arrival and departure halls to avoid legal consequences.

The case has since been referred to the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) for further investigation. Speaking at the briefing, Assistant Commander of the EFCC, Mr. Richard Adejumo, commended the Nigeria Customs Service for what he described as effective inter-agency collaboration.

“We will pick up the investigation from where the Nigeria Customs Service stopped,” Adejumo said. “We will ensure a thorough investigation is carried out and that justice is served. I appreciate the synergy that led to the interception of this huge sum of undeclared foreign currencies.”

The interception highlights the growing focus of Nigerian authorities on monitoring high-value cash movements, particularly at international airports, amid concerns over money laundering, terrorism financing, and capital flight. In recent months, customs and anti-graft agencies have recorded several similar seizures involving undeclared dollars, euros, pounds sterling, and other foreign currencies.

Under Nigeria’s foreign exchange laws, travellers are required to declare any amount above $10,000 or its equivalent before departure or upon arrival. Failure to do so, or making false or incomplete declarations, can result in prosecution and forfeiture of the funds under existing anti-money-laundering statutes.

As enforcement tightens, authorities say the message is clear: transparency in cross-border financial movements is non-negotiable. The Customs Service has reiterated its commitment to strengthening border controls and collaborating with other security agencies to safeguard Nigeria’s financial system and prevent illicit funds from entering or leaving the country undetected.

What Nigeria’s 14.45% Inflation Print Means for Stock and Fixed-Income Investors

  • dollaers
  • December 17, 2025
  • Stocks
  • 0 comments

Nigeria’s inflation narrative took a decisive turn in November 2025, offering financial markets a fresh signal that macroeconomic conditions may be gradually stabilising. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, headline inflation eased to 14.45% year-on-year in November, down from 16.05% recorded in October. The 160-basis-point decline represents the eighth consecutive month of disinflation, reinforcing the view that headline price pressures are slowing in a sustained manner.

For investors, this shift is more than just a statistical improvement. Inflation sits at the heart of asset pricing, real returns, and portfolio allocation decisions. As price growth moderates, the relative attractiveness of stocks versus fixed-income instruments begins to change, prompting investors to reassess where risk is most efficiently rewarded.

At a broad level, easing inflation improves real returns across financial assets. When inflation declines faster than nominal yields, investors earn more in real terms, even without a change in interest rates. This dynamic is already playing out in Nigeria’s government securities market and is beginning to influence equity valuations and sector preferences.

Implications for fixed-income investments

The most immediate and visible impact of lower inflation is in the fixed-income space. With inflation now at 14.45%, recent Nigerian Treasury Bills (NTBs) clearing in the range of 17.2% to 17.3% offer positive real yields of approximately 2.7% to 2.9%. This represents a meaningful turnaround from earlier periods when investors endured deeply negative real returns simply to preserve capital.

Positive real yields restore the traditional role of government securities as both safe and rewarding assets. For institutional investors such as pension funds, insurance companies, and banks, this shift strengthens the case for locking in yields, particularly amid expectations that inflation could continue to trend lower in the coming months.

Structural demand further reinforces this outlook. Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) already allocate roughly 60% of their assets to government securities, while banks continue to channel excess liquidity into fixed income, supported by regulatory liquidity requirements. This steady pool of demand has been evident at recent NTB auctions, where strong bid-to-cover ratios suggest investors are comfortable extending duration in anticipation of sustained disinflation.

If inflation continues to ease while nominal yields remain elevated, fixed-income instruments could remain the anchor of portfolio returns well into 2026, offering stability, predictability, and positive real income.

Implications for equities

For equities, the story is more nuanced. Lower inflation improves macroeconomic stability and reduces cost pressures over time, which is positive for corporate earnings. However, the rise in attractive risk-free returns fundamentally alters the equity investment equation.

When government securities yield over 17%, equities face a higher performance benchmark. Investors are no longer forced into stocks purely as an inflation hedge. Instead, equity investments must justify themselves through earnings growth, dividend yield, and balance-sheet strength. This environment favours selectivity rather than broad-based market rallies.

Companies with strong cash flows, resilient margins, and consistent dividend policies are better positioned to compete with high-yield fixed income. Conversely, speculative stocks, weak earners, and companies reliant on future growth narratives may see valuation pressure as the opportunity cost of holding equities rises.

Within the Nigerian equity market, financial stocks—particularly banks and insurance companies—appear relatively well placed. Their substantial holdings of government securities mean that higher yields directly support investment income and overall profitability. In addition, easing inflation helps stabilise asset quality, reduces credit stress, and improves underwriting conditions for insurers.

As a result, the financial sector stands out as a potential beneficiary of the current disinflationary but high-yield environment, offering investors a blend of earnings visibility and dividend support.

The bigger picture

While the drop to 14.45% marks an important milestone, it does not imply that inflation risks have disappeared. Month-on-month inflation remains elevated, and inflation expectations, pricing behaviour, and policy decisions will continue to shape market outcomes.

For investors, the key takeaway is not complacency but recalibration. Nigeria is moving into a more balanced investment landscape where real yields matter again, risk is repriced more carefully, and asset allocation decisions demand greater discipline.

In this environment, fixed income regains its role as a credible return driver, while equities reward patience, quality, and selectivity rather than speculation.

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