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IATA Forecasts $0.2 Billion Profit for African Airlines in 2026 Amid Passenger Growth

  • dollaers
  • December 10, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

African airlines are expected to maintain a collective net profit of $0.2 billion in 2026, supported by a projected 6% increase in passenger traffic, according to the latest global aviation financial outlook released by the International Air Transport Association (IATA). Despite this positive trajectory, carriers on the continent will continue to operate under some of the tightest margins in global aviation, underscoring structural challenges that limit profitability even in periods of passenger growth.

IATA’s projection highlights a stark profitability gap between African operators and their international counterparts. Although the travel sector in Africa is showing signs of post-pandemic resilience and continued recovery in business and leisure traffic, the region’s net margin is expected to hover at around -1%, meaning returns remain significantly below sustainable levels. Revenue per passenger is forecast at just $1.30, reflecting the thin commercial yield generated per ticket sold.

A major constraint to profitability, according to the outlook, lies in Africa’s disproportionately high operating costs. The report noted that airlines in the region face the highest unit costs globally, measured at a cost per available tonne-kilometre (ATK) of roughly 140 US cents. This is nearly twice the current global industry average, suggesting that African carriers must operate with heavier financial burdens, from fuel and aircraft maintenance to leasing and airport charges.

Capacity Growth Remains Cautious

While demand indicators point upward, African airlines are projected to expand capacity moderately in 2026, with available seat kilometres (ASK) growing by 5.7%. This cautious approach reflects the capital-intensive nature of aviation on the continent, where many carriers operate older fleets with higher maintenance requirements. In addition, fragmented regional markets and regulatory barriers continue to limit the economies of scale needed for efficient network planning.

IATA notes that capacity growth is also inhibited by economic conditions across many African markets. Low GDP per capita makes the air travel market extremely price-sensitive, forcing airlines to compete aggressively on ticket costs while facing high tax and fee structures. The average corporate tax rate in African aviation markets stands at 28%, further compressing margins. Visa restrictions and elevated passenger charges remain additional layers of economic friction, affecting ticket affordability and limiting the expansion of intra-African travel.

Global Airlines Steady Amid Cost Pressures

The 2026 outlook places the projected $0.2 billion profit of African carriers in the context of a global aviation industry expected to earn $41 billion in net profit, with margins stabilizing at 3.9% and total passengers reaching 5.2 billion worldwide. Although supply chain disruptions, aircraft delivery delays, and environmental regulations continue to place pressure on airlines globally, carriers in mature markets are leveraging strong load factors, diversified ancillary revenue streams, cargo performance, and efficient fleet renewal strategies to sustain profitability.

Global performance also varies significantly by region, with Middle Eastern airlines expected to lead industry earnings in 2026. Supported by powerful hub airports, integrated long-haul transfer networks, and supportive regulatory frameworks, Middle Eastern carriers are projected to record $6.8 billion in profit, with a net margin of 9.3% and revenue of $28.60 per passenger.

Regional Comparisons Highlight Gap

In Europe, net profit is forecast at $14 billion in 2026, driven by capacity discipline and continued growth of low-cost airline models, even as labor disputes and new sustainability requirements threaten operating costs. Asian carriers are anticipated to post some of the fastest demand growth, with passenger traffic in the Asia-Pacific region expected to expand by 7.3% next year, supported by strong markets in China and India. Load factors in the region may reach a record 84.4%, although overcapacity concerns and declining yields pose risks. Latin American airlines are forecast to witness traffic growth of 6.6%, translating into a profitability recovery of about $2 billion, while currency instability continues to weigh on earnings.

Meanwhile, North American airlines are expected to earn $11.3 billion in profit in 2026, supported by a mature market structure and strong ancillary revenue streams but constrained by capacity limits, pilot shortages, and slower domestic demand growth estimated at just 1.5%.

Africa Still Faces Structural Barriers

The latest IATA data underscores a persistent structural divide in global aviation. While African airlines are expected to maintain modest gains in traffic and stay marginally profitable in 2026, their ability to compete remains restricted by high operating costs, regulatory fragmentation, limited capital access, and narrow commercial yields. The report suggests that broader reforms—ranging from aviation infrastructure investment to the removal of mobility restrictions under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and the Single African Air Transport Market (SAATM)—will be critical to unlocking more sustainable growth.

Despite the challenges, the continued uptick in passenger demand signals renewed confidence in air travel on the continent, presenting a foundation for longer-term growth if structural issues can be addressed through coordinated policy support and regional integration.

Eterna Plc Launches N21.52 Billion Rights Issue to Fund Expansion and Strengthen Capital Structure

  • dollaers
  • December 5, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

Eterna Plc, one of Nigeria’s leading integrated downstream energy companies, has announced a major capital-raising programme through a N21.52 billion rights issue, as the company advances its multi-year strategy to scale operations, deepen market penetration, and reinforce its balance sheet amid reforms reshaping Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

The equity offer will issue 978,108,485 ordinary shares at N22 per share, structured as three new shares for every four held as of November 27, 2025. The subscription window will open on January 12, 2026 and close on February 18, 2026, giving existing shareholders an opportunity to increase their stake in the company at a discounted offer price. According to the company, all newly issued shares will rank pari passu with existing ordinary shares, ensuring equal rights and benefits for participating shareholders.

A formal signing ceremony for the rights issue was held in Lagos on Tuesday, December 2, 2025, attended by Eterna Plc’s board, executive management, and key transaction advisers. The milestone follows shareholder approval granted at the company’s 2025 Annual General Meeting, where investors backed Eterna’s expansion roadmap and endorsed the need for additional capital to support growth.

Strategic Focus and Use of Proceeds

Eterna Plc explained that proceeds from the offer will be allocated to a range of strategic initiatives across its business segments, particularly in retail expansion, lubricant manufacturing, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) distribution, and aviation fueling services. The company plans to upgrade its lubricant blending plant, expand its network of fuel stations, add new LPG retail assets, acquire commercial delivery equipment, and invest in sustainability projects aligned with its Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) agenda.

Part of the funding will also be deployed as working capital to enhance liquidity and finance inventory cycles, allowing the company to better withstand currency pressure, market volatility, and potential supply disruptions. By injecting fresh equity into the business, Eterna expects to strengthen its capital structure, reduce leverage, and increase its capacity to compete in the rapidly transforming downstream sector.

Strong Financial Recovery Drives Investor Confidence

The rights issue follows a period of strong financial performance that has repositioned the company for a new phase of growth. In 2024, Eterna Plc recorded a 71% surge in revenue to N313.6 billion, up from N183.2 billion in 2023. During the period, the company returned to profitability, reporting a profit before tax of N4.48 billion, representing a major turnaround from the N11.97 billion loss recorded the previous year.

That momentum continued into 2025, with half-year results showing a 6.9% increase in consolidated revenue and an impressive 143.9% rise in profit before tax, reaching N1.57 billion, compared to the same period in 2024. The financial rebound has strengthened investor sentiment and provided a solid foundation for the equity raise.

Capital Raise Reflects Sector Dynamics and Energy Transition Priorities

Nigeria’s downstream oil and gas sector is experiencing structural shifts driven by deregulation, foreign exchange reforms, and the renewed push toward cleaner energy solutions. Operators are also navigating the effects of global crude price fluctuations, regulatory uncertainty, and the need for investments in infrastructure to meet evolving consumer and environmental expectations.

Eterna’s board, led by Chairman Dr. Gabriel Ogbechie, OON, said the rights issue is central to the company’s long-term strategy to retain market leadership in the downstream segment while positioning for opportunities emerging from the energy transition. Eterna plans to expand its LPG footprint, accelerate retail network growth, and build capacity in aviation fueling, where it already has significant operational expertise.

The board believes the capital injection will enhance the company’s competitive advantage through scale, efficiency, and integration, which are critical for sustained performance in a deregulated environment. By deepening its presence across core value chains—fuel distribution, lubricants, LPG, and aviation fueling—Eterna aims to capture value across the entire downstream market while driving shareholder value creation.

Outlook

The N21.52 billion rights issue marks a major milestone in Eterna Plc’s capital development programme and reflects confidence from both investors and management in the company’s future direction. With stronger capitalisation, a growing customer base, and clear commitments toward cleaner energy solutions, Eterna appears well positioned to pursue new opportunities in Nigeria’s evolving energy landscape.

Ellah Lakes’ N235 Billion Public Offer: Strategic Masterstroke or a Costly Leap of Faith?

  • dollaers
  • December 1, 2025
  • Business, Investment
  • 0 comments

Ellah Lakes Plc has launched one of the most ambitious capital-raising efforts on the Nigerian capital market in 2025: a public offer of 18.8 billion shares aimed at raising N235 billion. The proceeds are dedicated entirely to the acquisition of Agro-Allied Resources & Processing Nigeria Ltd (ARPN), a move the company believes will transform it into a major agro-industrial powerhouse.

The offer, which opened on 10 November at N12.50 per share, is scheduled to close on 5 December 2025. Investor sentiment has been lively. The stock price rose from N11.05 on the offering day to N13.85 last week, signalling optimism about the growth potential this acquisition could unlock for Ellah Lakes.

A Transformative Asset—What ARPN Brings to the Table

For Ellah Lakes, ARPN represents immediate scale, real operations, and tangible cash flow—three critical ingredients the company has historically lacked. Over the last twelve months, ARPN generated N1.62 billion in revenue and N335 million in net profit. The company controls more than 22,000 hectares of land and operates integrated processing facilities, with strong commercial relationships including a notable supply chain link with Dufil Prima Foods, a major FMCG player.

Depending on the final subscription level, the acquisition could reshape Ellah Lakes almost overnight. The company’s revenue base could expand more than twentyfold. Combined pre-offer assets amount to roughly N81 billion, with minimal debt exposure of under N500 million. Once the N235 billion equity injection is added, Ellah Lakes’ shareholders’ funds would rise from N36.5 billion to well above N271 billion. Total assets would grow to N316 billion, placing the company among Nigeria’s most well-capitalized agro-industrial firms.

ARPN’s financial outlook further strengthens the appeal. The company is projected to deliver N2.25 billion in tax-adjusted EBIT and N2.74 billion in free cash flow by 2026, with revenue forecast to reach as high as N76 billion by 2030. Its vertically integrated operations—from plantation to processing—offer cost efficiencies, yield stability, and scalability.

The Valuation Puzzle: Rational or Excessive?

Yet, the opportunity comes with significant valuation questions. ARPN’s acquisition price, slightly above N200 billion, assumes rapid growth, sustained profitability, and timely expansion of its 30MT/hr mill—an ambitious target for a business that only turned profitable in 2025.

Furthermore, ARPN’s valuation was determined using a steep 24.2% discount rate, underscoring the level of market-perceived risk. Although ARPN’s N32 billion debt will not transfer to Ellah Lakes, the blended cost of capital for the merged entity still hovers around 22%—a demanding hurdle rate. Simply put, the combined company must execute flawlessly to justify the price being paid. Any delays, operational hiccups, or weaker-than-expected yields could erode shareholder value.

This makes the acquisition both strategically compelling and financially precarious. The deal clearly fits Ellah Lakes’ long-term vision, but the margin for error is exceptionally narrow.

Ellah Lakes’ Existing Valuation: A Company Betting on the Future

A close look at Ellah Lakes’ current valuation reveals a simple truth: investors are not paying for the company as it is today but for what it hopes to become. Without ARPN, the valuation appears stretched. With ARPN, the growth narrative becomes credible. The acquisition is not one option among many—it is the backbone of Ellah Lakes’ future strategy.

Should Investors Subscribe? Promise Meets Risk

From a strategic standpoint, the arguments in favour of the offer are persuasive. ARPN brings scale, operating assets, profitability, and a growth runway that Ellah Lakes has long sought. The enlarged balance sheet would be one of the strongest in the sector, giving the company the financial depth to pursue expansion and withstand shocks.

However, the risks are equally significant. ARPN’s valuation is aggressive, its projections optimistic, and integration demands high levels of managerial discipline. Agriculture is inherently unpredictable—climate, logistics, and regulatory hurdles can derail even well-structured plans.

For investors, the Ellah Lakes offer is not a conservative play. It is a bold, high-conviction bet. The stock has previously traded at highs of N17.66, offering psychological comfort about potential upside. Short-term gains at the N12.50 offer price are possible, but long-term performance depends entirely on whether Ellah Lakes can harness ARPN’s potential and turn that promise into sustained, operational excellence.

In essence, the offer represents both a transformative opportunity—and a costly gamble.

Dangote Refinery Commits to Supplying 1.5 Billion Litres of Petrol Monthly From December

  • dollaers
  • December 1, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

Dangote Petroleum Refinery has announced its readiness to fully meet Nigeria’s domestic petrol demand, pledging to supply 1.5 billion litres of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) monthly—equivalent to 50 million litres per day—beginning December 2025. This output is scheduled to further increase to 1.7 billion litres per month, or 57 million litres per day, starting in February 2026 as refining operations expand.

The refinery formalised this commitment in a letter addressed to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA). Dated November 30, 2025, and signed by the company’s Chief Executive Officer, David Bird, the correspondence requested regulatory cooperation to ensure seamless operations, transparent reporting, and uninterrupted product distribution nationwide.

Call for Onsite Verification and Full Transparency

As part of its plan to build public trust and assure market stability, Dangote Refinery invited NMDPRA officials to be physically present at the refinery from December 1, 2025. Their role would be to verify and publicly publish the refinery’s daily production figures, stock levels, and product availability.

In the letter, Bird emphasised that real-time transparency is critical to boosting public confidence, especially at a time when Nigerians remain concerned about irregular supply patterns, import dependency, and rising fuel prices. Publishing daily output data—across online platforms and print media—would, according to the refinery, help dispel doubts about domestic capacity and demonstrate the refinery’s consistency in meeting national demand.

Operational Challenges and the “Nigeria First” Supply Policy

The refinery also appealed to NMDPRA to ensure the smooth importation of crude oil, feedstock, and blending components necessary for its operations. According to the letter, Dangote Refinery continues to face delays in vessel clearance, which disrupt refining schedules, inflate operational costs, and ultimately affect consumers at the pump.

Bird described these delays as avoidable inefficiencies, noting that eliminating them would strengthen Nigeria’s fuel security and support the federal government’s “Nigeria First” policy—a strategy prioritising domestic refining over import-driven supply chains.

“The Dangote refinery is ready and able to supply Nigeria’s PMS needs,” Bird stated. “We will appreciate your support to secure Nigeria’s domestic fuel security and abundance. Please allow the ‘Nigeria First’ policy to work to the benefit of all Nigerians.”

A Potential Turning Point for Nigeria’s Downstream Sector

The refinery’s pledge comes at a critical time for Nigeria’s downstream sector, which for years has struggled with unpredictable supplies and chronic dependence on imported petrol. Despite modest contributions from smaller local refineries, imports remain the backbone of domestic PMS availability.

Dangote Refinery—Africa’s largest single-train refinery—has long been positioned as a transformative project for Nigeria’s energy ecosystem, with the potential to reverse decades of fuel import dependence. The commitment to supply more than 50 million litres daily represents a major step toward that goal.

The refinery’s willingness to open its operations to regulatory scrutiny further signals confidence in its production capacity and a bid to establish itself as the dominant supplier of PMS within the country.

Regulatory Insights and National Consumption Trends

The NMDPRA recently reported that Nigeria consumed an average of 56.74 million litres of petrol daily in October 2025. Of this amount, 27.6 million litres were supplied through imports, while 17.08 million litres came from domestic refining operations.

Although the gap remains significant, the regulatory authority noted that the share of locally sourced PMS has been rising gradually. Dangote Refinery’s new production plan—if executed consistently—could not only close the supply deficit but potentially allow Nigeria to eliminate PMS imports altogether.

Implications for Fuel Security and Economic Stability

If successful, Dangote’s monthly supply of 1.5–1.7 billion litres marks a major milestone in Nigeria’s quest for energy self-sufficiency. Reduced reliance on imports could stabilise pump prices, improve foreign exchange savings, and ease pressure on the naira—long strained by high dollar demand from fuel importers.

Moreover, the refinery’s operational scale provides an opportunity for the government to reposition Nigeria as a regional petroleum hub capable of exporting surplus products across West and Central Africa.

As the December rollout approaches, stakeholders will be watching closely to assess whether Dangote Refinery’s output and distribution can match its ambitious commitments—and whether regulatory collaboration will ensure the “Nigeria First” policy delivers on its promise of fuel security, affordability, and transparency.

Linkage Assurance Unveils Plan to Raise N16 Billion in Fresh Capital to Accelerate Growth and Strengthen Operations

  • dollaers
  • November 28, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

Linkage Assurance Plc has announced a major step toward strengthening its financial position and scaling its operations, revealing plans to raise N16 billion in new capital. The move marks a significant strategic shift for the insurance firm as it seeks to enhance its competitiveness, reinforce its balance sheet, and position itself for long-term growth in Nigeria’s evolving insurance landscape.

The capital raise, disclosed through a formal filing with the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), will be executed through various equity-based fundraising options. According to the company, its board of directors has received the necessary authorization to source the funds using any combination of private placement, rights issue, public offer, or other approved equity instruments. The final structure will depend on market realities, investor appetite, and regulatory considerations at the time of execution.

In the document signed by Company Secretary Moses Omorogbe, Linkage Assurance emphasized that the board maintains full flexibility in determining the most suitable approach, pricing structure, and timing for the capital injection. The company also underscored its commitment to complying with all regulatory requirements, including approvals from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM), and the NGX.

The statement read:
“The Board of Directors of the Company be and is hereby authorized to raise additional N16,000,000,000 (Sixteen Billion Naira) capital or such other amount as it may determine, by way of either Private Placement, Rights Issue, Public Offer or a combination, on such terms and conditions, including price and timing, as may be determined by the Board of Directors of the Company, subject to obtaining all relevant regulatory approval.”

A Strategic Response to Industry-Wide Capital Pressure

Linkage Assurance’s decision comes at a time when Nigeria’s insurance sector is witnessing increasing regulatory pressure to strengthen capital bases and enhance underwriting capacity. NAICOM has consistently emphasized the need for better capitalized insurers capable of absorbing risk, protecting policyholders, and meeting global standards.

The company’s capital-raising plan is therefore not only timely but also aligned with industry expectations. With additional capital, Linkage Assurance aims to:

  • Improve its risk-bearing capacity

  • Expand its underwriting portfolio

  • Strengthen solvency margins

  • Invest in digital transformation and customer-facing technologies

  • Deepen market penetration across retail and corporate segments

Positioning for Growth in a Competitive Market

The insurance sector has become increasingly competitive in 2025, with many firms engaging in mergers, acquisitions, and capital restructurings to remain viable. Linkage Assurance’s move signals a bold intention to remain among the top-performing insurers by aggressively expanding its operational capabilities.

New capital will enable the company to pursue growth opportunities in key business lines such as life, non-life, oil and gas, marine, and general accident insurance. It also opens doors for strategic partnerships, product diversification, and expansion into emerging segments of the market.

Investor Sentiment and Market Outlook

While the exact fundraising structure is yet to be finalized, market analysts note that a successful capital raise of N16 billion could significantly enhance investor confidence. Linkage Assurance’s recent performance on the NGX—where several insurance stocks have ranked among the year’s best performers—suggests that investor interest in the sector remains solid.

As the company prepares for the next phase of its expansion, a strengthened financial base will serve as a catalyst for improved profitability, stronger brand positioning, and increased shareholder value.

Linkage Assurance’s proactive step underscores the broader transformation within Nigeria’s insurance sector—one driven by capital consolidation, regulatory reforms, and the increasing need for insurers to demonstrate resilience in a fast-changing economic environment.

Nigeria’s PMI Rises to 56.4 in November, Extends Expansion Streak to 12 Consecutive Months

  • dollaers
  • November 28, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

Nigeria’s private sector maintained its strong upward momentum in November 2025, with the Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) climbing to 56.4 points from 55.4 recorded in October. The latest PMI data, released by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), confirms a continued and broad-based expansion in economic activity, marking the twelfth straight month of growth. This sustained positive trend highlights a year of progressive economic recovery across key sectors despite prevailing macroeconomic pressures.

According to the CBN report, November’s PMI reading stands above all earlier monthly figures recorded in 2025, underscoring the resilience of businesses and the gradual stabilisation of productive activities nationwide. “Overall, the November 2025 PMI data indicated a continued expansion in economic activities across all sectors, surpassing all earlier indices in the year,” the report said.

Broad-Based Strength Across Key Indicators

All major sub-indices registered improvements, signalling stronger business performance and more robust economic conditions.

  • Output Index: 59.1 points

  • New Orders: 56.7 points

  • Employment: 54.4 points

  • Raw Materials Inventory: 54.3 points

  • Suppliers’ Delivery Time: 55.6 points

These figures reveal rising production volumes, increased consumer and industrial demand, and a more efficient flow of goods across supply chains. Faster delivery times point to easing logistical bottlenecks, while rising new orders highlight growing market confidence.

Industry Sector: Solid Expansion Despite Slight Pressure

The Industry Sector PMI came in at 54.2 points, remaining firmly in expansion territory though tempered by minor contractions in a handful of subsectors. Out of the 17 industrial subsectors surveyed, seven reported slight declines, with Paper Products facing the sharpest contraction.

Despite these pockets of slowdown, several subsectors maintained strong growth, led by Water Supply, Sewage & Waste Management, which delivered the highest expansion in the category.

Industry Sub-indices:

  • Output: 57.1

  • Employment: 51.6

  • Raw Materials Inventory: 49.7

  • Suppliers’ Delivery Time: 55.6

  • New Orders: 54.4

The drop in raw materials inventory below the 50-point threshold may reflect reduced input availability or more aggressive inventory optimisation by manufacturers responding to cost pressures.

Services Sector: Ten Straight Months of Growth

The Services Sector PMI remained upbeat at 56.8 points in November, marking ten consecutive months of expansion. All 14 subsectors surveyed recorded growth, reinforcing the services sector’s central role in Nigeria’s economic stabilisation efforts.

Educational Services saw the strongest growth as private investments increased and academic calendars stabilised nationwide. Professional, Scientific & Technical Services posted the slowest expansion but still remained well above the neutral 50-point mark.

This consistent broad-based expansion reflects improving consumer spending, stronger business-to-business transactions, and enhanced delivery of essential and professional services.

Agriculture Sector Leads as Strongest Performer

The Agriculture Sector continued its impressive run, posting a PMI of 58.2 points—its sixteenth consecutive month of expansion. This makes agriculture the longest-performing sector within the PMI framework.

All five agricultural subsectors expanded, boosted by improved weather patterns, better access to inputs, and rising demand for food and raw materials.

Key agricultural sub-indices included:

  • General Farming Activities: 61.4

  • New Orders: 59.5

  • Employment: 55.6

  • Raw Materials Inventory: 56.3

Forestry emerged as the fastest-growing subsector, driven by higher demand for timber and related materials.

Why the November PMI Matters

The sustained improvement in Nigeria’s PMI provides valuable insight into the country’s economic direction during a period of volatility and reform. Twelve months of uninterrupted expansion paint a clear picture of recovery—one that is not accidental but grounded in consistent business activity and positive sector-wide momentum.

PMI readings above 50 indicate growth; persistent readings around or above 55 signal strong and stable expansion. This trend boosts investor confidence, enhances credit outlooks, and encourages both domestic and foreign investment.

Crucially, the simultaneous growth in industry, services, and agriculture reflects a multi-sector expansion that supports millions of jobs. With agriculture and services—two of Nigeria’s largest employers—posting some of the strongest growth figures, the data suggests a recovery that is inclusive and sustainable.

As Nigeria navigates inflationary pressures, exchange rate challenges, and structural reforms, the November 2025 PMI results offer a reassuring signal: the private sector is steadily regaining strength, providing a crucial foundation for broader economic stability in the months ahead.

Nigerian Breweries in 2025: Industry Rebound, Soaring Valuations, and the Battle for Leadership

  • dollaers
  • November 26, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

The Nigerian brewing industry has delivered one of its strongest comeback stories in recent years, staging a dramatic turnaround in 2025. The four listed brewers—Nigerian Breweries, Guinness Nigeria, International Breweries, and Champion Breweries—have collectively more than doubled their market capitalization from N2.1 trillion in 2024 to N4.63 trillion in 2025. This surge reflects not only improved earnings and cost structures but a broad revival in consumer spending, pricing adjustments, and better foreign exchange conditions.

While Nigerian Breweries maintains its dominance with a market capitalization of N2.12 trillion, Champion Breweries has stunned the market with a 246.46% year-to-date share price gain—the highest in the sector. The broad rally raises a key question: Which brewer is executing best across revenue, profitability, cost management, financial strength, and shareholder returns?

Revenue Performance: Nigerian Breweries Leads, Guinness Impresses

Across the first nine months of 2025, Nigerian Breweries (NB) remained the industry leader with revenue of N1.046 trillion—representing about 54% of the combined sector total. Although its 47.2% year-on-year growth is moderate compared to peers, NB’s scale reinforces its position at the top.

International Breweries followed with N472.57 billion in revenue and 37.6% growth, showing resilience despite intense competition. Guinness recorded the highest revenue growth of 71.56%, rising to N377.94 billion—signalling a strong recovery and potential to challenge larger rivals if momentum continues.

Champion Breweries, at N21.44 billion in revenue, remains the smallest player but delivered an impressive 52.92% growth, reinforcing its growing appeal to investors.

Verdict:

  • Best in absolute revenue: Nigerian Breweries

  • Best in revenue growth: Guinness

  • Best long-term growth trajectory: International Breweries (37% 5-year CAGR)

Overall industry revenue of N1.9 trillion in 9M 2025 already surpasses the five-year average of N1.1 trillion—an undeniable sign of an industry resurgence.

Cost Management & Margins: Champion Breweries Takes the Lead

2025 has highlighted major differences in operational efficiency among the brewers.

  • Champion Breweries delivered the strongest margins in the industry:

    • Gross margin: 48.04%

    • Operating margin: 20.01%

    • Interest coverage: 5.17x
      Its disciplined cost structure and low finance costs put it ahead of larger peers.

  • International Breweries recorded the highest post-tax profit margin at 12.24% and the strongest interest coverage (10.93x), reflecting improved debt management. However, its gross and operating margins remain behind Champion’s.

  • Nigerian Breweries maintained an operating margin of 15.59% but saw its net margin fall to 8.17%, weighed down by higher finance costs and lingering cost pressures despite its scale.

  • Guinness delivered a gross margin of 27.39% and operating margin of 7.74%, but its post-tax margin dropped to 1.78% due to heavy overheads and finance expenses.

Verdict:

  • Best cost efficiency: Champion Breweries

  • Best post-tax margin: International Breweries

  • Most cost-pressured: Guinness

Profitability: Nigerian Breweries Leads in Volume, International Breweries Leads in Recovery

All four brewers returned to profitability in 2025 after a tough 2024 marked by FX losses and inflationary pressure.

  • Nigerian Breweries: N85.51 billion post-tax profit, reversing a N149.53 billion loss in 2024.

  • International Breweries: N57.83 billion profit, up from a N113 billion loss—driven by FX loss reduction and significantly lower finance costs.

  • Guinness: N6.72 billion profit but thin margins.

  • Champion Breweries: N2.05 billion profit with a strong 9.54% margin.

Verdict:

  • Highest absolute profit: Nigerian Breweries

  • Best recovery story: International Breweries

  • Best profit margin: Champion Breweries

Balance Sheet Strength: International Breweries Stands Out

  • International Breweries carries zero debt, giving it the strongest balance sheet.

  • Nigerian Breweries has manageable borrowings (debt-to-equity: 0.44x).

  • Champion Breweries has moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.17x.

  • Guinness remains heavily leveraged (6.59x), reflecting its reliance on borrowings.

Dividend Expectations: Who Rewards Shareholders?

  • Nigerian Breweries: Expected to resume dividends after strong profit recovery.

  • Champion Breweries: Likely to increase dividends after its strong 2025 performance.

  • International Breweries & Guinness: Unlikely to pay dividends due to accumulated losses.

Valuation: What the Market Is Pricing In

The brewing sector trades at an average P/E ratio of 28x—signifying strong investor expectations.

Nigerian Breweries, trading at 22.17x, looks relatively undervalued given its market position. Champion Breweries appears priced for growth, while International Breweries’ zero-debt status adds to investor confidence.

Final Verdict: Who Is Doing Better?

  • Most balanced and stable performer: Nigerian Breweries

  • Best growth stock: Champion Breweries

  • Strongest financial turnaround: International Breweries

  • Most pressured player: Guinness

With rising revenue, stronger margins, and improved FX conditions, the brewing industry’s 2025 rebound appears strong, broad-based, and sustainable—setting the stage for an even more competitive 2026.

Chams Holding Company Expands Share Capital to 6.65 Billion Units Following Major Private Placement

  • dollaers
  • November 24, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

Chams Holding Company Plc has significantly strengthened its capital structure with the successful listing of 1,955,910,000 additional ordinary shares on the Daily Official List of the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX). The transaction, which followed the completion of a major private placement exercise, has pushed the company’s market capitalisation to approximately N21 billion and marks a strategic step toward enhancing its balance sheet, operational capacity, and long-term competitiveness.

The listing was disclosed through an official notification sent to Trading License Holders and published by the NGX for the week ending Friday, November 21, 2025. According to the announcement, the new shares were issued at N1.87 per unit under a private placement programme involving roughly 2 billion ordinary shares of 50 kobo each.

With the addition of these shares, Chams’ total issued and fully paid-up share capital has expanded from 4,696,060,000 units to 6,651,970,000 units. This capital boost is expected to support the company’s investment agenda, which includes upgrading digital infrastructure, strengthening identity authentication technologies, and funding expansion initiatives across its subsidiaries and service lines.

Share Price Movements and Market Activity

Chams’ stock has exhibited noticeable volatility over the past few months, reflecting shifting investor sentiment and broader market conditions. The company recorded a 52-week high of N4.67 on October 7, 2025, before experiencing a pullback to N3.15 as of November 21. This represents a modest rebound from its monthly low of N3.00 on November 11. The stock closed the last trading session at N3.15, up 1.6% from the previous close of N3.10.

Despite short-term fluctuations and a 20% decline over the past four weeks, Chams remains one of the standout performers of the year. The stock has gained 58.3% year-to-date, rising from its opening value of N1.99 in January.

Trading activity has also remained strong. Chams ranked as the 13th most actively traded stock on the NGX over the three-month period from August 25 to November 21, 2025. During this window, investors exchanged 889 million shares across 27,956 deals, worth approximately N3.25 billion. Average daily volume stood at 14.1 million shares, highlighting the company’s high liquidity and sustained investor interest. The period’s highest trading day occurred on October 13, with 44 million shares traded, while November 7 saw the lowest volume of 3.29 million shares.

Financial Performance and Implications of the Capital Increase

For the nine months ending September 30, 2025, Chams Holding Company Plc reported revenue of N13.45 billion—slightly above the N13.12 billion posted in the corresponding period of 2024. However, profit after tax fell sharply to N500.7 million from N1.08 billion the previous year. This decline was driven primarily by increased operating costs and a substantial rise in finance expenses, reflecting higher borrowing costs and broader macroeconomic pressures.

On the balance sheet, total assets stood at N20.66 billion, while total equity improved to N10.56 billion. The growth in equity was supported by stronger retained earnings and increased non-controlling interests. The recent private placement further strengthens the equity position by injecting fresh capital into the company’s operations.

Nevertheless, the enlarged share base—now at 6.65 billion units—will dilute earnings per share (EPS) unless the company significantly increases profitability. EPS for the nine-month period dropped to 9.17 kobo, compared to 19.10 kobo recorded in 2024. For investors, this dilution reinforces the importance of how effectively Chams deploys its newly raised capital.

The Bottom Line

Chams Holding Company’s private placement marks a major milestone in its capital expansion strategy. While the move provides the company with the financial flexibility needed to pursue growth, invest in technology, and reinforce its identity solutions ecosystem, it also raises expectations. To preserve shareholder value and counteract EPS dilution, the company must channel the new funds into high-return projects and deliver improved profitability in the coming quarters.

Champion Breweries Posts Strong Half-Year 2025 Performance, Upgrades Profit to N4.04 Billion

  • dollaers
  • November 24, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

Champion Breweries Plc has published its audited financial statements for the half-year ended June 30, 2025, delivering a significant improvement in profitability and building on the momentum reflected in its earlier unaudited filings. The company reported a pre-tax profit of N4.04 billion, marking an upgrade from the previously announced N3.4 billion and representing a remarkable turnaround from the N232.6 million loss recorded during the same period in 2024.

The audited results confirm that Champion Breweries has regained operational stability following a challenging 2024, benefiting primarily from stronger revenue performance, disciplined cost management, and more favorable financing activities. The company’s recovery comes at a time of heightened competition and rising input costs within Nigeria’s beverage and brewery sector.

Stronger Revenue Performance Drives Growth

Revenue for the period closed at N15.9 billion, reflecting a 66.92% year-on-year increase, up from N9.5 billion recorded in the first half of 2024. This growth was driven by higher sales volumes and renewed consumer demand for the company’s beverage portfolio. The steady expansion of the Nigerian beer and malt beverages market, supported by improved distribution efficiency, contributed significantly to the top-line gains.

Though revenue grew sharply, the company also experienced a rise in cost of sales, which climbed by 25.34% YoY to N7.4 billion. Despite this increase, Champion Breweries delivered a substantial improvement in gross profit, which surged to N8.4 billion, more than doubling the N3.5 billion posted in the corresponding period of 2024. This underscores the company’s ability to enhance production efficiency and improve margins even in an inflationary environment.

Operational Efficiency and Expense Management

Champion Breweries’ operating expenses reflected the pressures of business expansion and rising administrative costs. Selling and distribution costs rose to N2.2 billion, marking a 20.59% increase, while administrative expenses surged by 65% to N1.75 billion. Despite these significant cost pressures, the company posted a strong rebound in operating profit.

Operating profit reached N4.48 billion, a dramatic increase of 548% YoY when compared to N692.2 million recorded in the first half of 2024. This performance reinforces the company’s success in balancing business expansion with effective cost controls and strategic allocation of resources.

Improved Financing Position Strengthens Bottom Line

The company’s financing activities supported its profitability improvement. Finance income rose to N139.9 million, compared to zero finance income in the same period last year. At the same time, finance costs dropped sharply to N585.2 million, down from N924.9 million in 2024. Lower borrowing costs and improved cash management played a central role in strengthening the company’s bottom line.

As a result, pre-tax profit climbed to N4.04 billion, while profit after tax stood at N2.73 billion, cementing the company’s successful reversal from the previous year’s loss.

Healthier Balance Sheet and Stronger Equity Base

Champion Breweries also reported improvements in its financial position. Total assets increased by 17.75% YoY to N25.1 billion, largely supported by property, plant, and equipment valued at N14.7 billion. This underscores the company’s sustained investment in production capacity and infrastructure.

Total equity rose to N14.2 billion, up from N12 billion, with retained earnings contributing N6.04 billion—a clear indicator of enhanced profitability and stronger shareholder value.

On the liabilities side, total liabilities increased to N10.9 billion, driven mainly by trade and other payables amounting to N3.8 billion, and borrowings of N3.6 billion.

Market Performance

Champion Breweries continues to maintain strong investor interest on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX). The company’s share price stands at N13.50, with a year-to-date return of 254%, reflecting renewed shareholder confidence and expectations of continued growth.

The company’s improved financial performance positions it strongly for its planned N58 billion capital raise, an initiative expected to support expansion, strengthen working capital, and enhance its competitive edge in the Nigerian beverages industry.

Why Nigerian Startups Must Turn to Debt Markets for Smarter, Sustainable Growth

  • dollaers
  • November 23, 2025
  • Business
  • 0 comments

Nigerian startups must rethink their growth strategies and adopt debt market financing as a core part of their capital-raising journey, according to insights shared at the 2025 Business and Finance Roundtable hosted by The New Practice (TNP) in Lagos. The event, themed “Scaling Smarter: Debt Markets as a Growth Catalyst for Startups,” brought together financial experts, market operators, and founders to examine why debt, rather than equity, is increasingly becoming the smarter route for many high-growth Nigerian companies.

Leading the conversation, TNP Partner Bukola Bankole highlighted that debt forces founders into a posture of discipline, accountability, and financial clarity—traits that are often diluted in equity-funded environments. She noted that unlike equity investors who may tolerate prolonged burn rates, debt instruments impose clear obligations and enforce operational efficiency. This, she argued, is precisely what many Nigerian startups need as they navigate an ecosystem marked by regulatory uncertainties, high operating costs, and a complex fundraising landscape.

One of the most compelling moments of the roundtable came from Seyi Ebenezer, Founder and CEO of Payaza Africa, who shared the company’s unconventional funding journey. Despite strong interest from venture capital and private equity firms in its early days, Payaza deliberately chose a debt-driven growth strategy. The fintech has since raised N40.37 billion across four tranches of its N50 billion commercial paper programme. According to Ebenezer, this strategic reliance on debt—rather than equity dilution—has been foundational to Payaza’s rapid expansion. He explained that debt instills the kind of discipline needed to run an efficient business, remarking that “disciplined people supervise smart people.” Debt, he added, forces founders to remain focused, meet deadlines, and maintain clean financial structures because interest accrues daily, even on weekends. This daily pressure becomes a catalyst for prudent management.

Industry experts also stressed the importance of commercial paper as a viable debt instrument for startups and mid-sized companies. Traditionally viewed as the domain of Nigeria’s largest corporates, commercial paper is now becoming more accessible due to regulatory support and market reforms. In 2025 alone, more than N1 trillion worth of commercial papers has been issued—evidence of the growing appetite for short-term debt financing. Temi Popoola, CEO of the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX), attributed this shift to the proactive stance of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). He noted that barriers to capital market participation are “materially lower than ever,” enabling startups to approach the market with fewer constraints. However, Popoola emphasized that while regulatory bottlenecks have reduced, startups must understand that disclosure remains a non-negotiable requirement. Any company seeking public capital, he said, must be transparent and ready to communicate financial and operational details to investors. He stressed that disclosure should not intimidate responsible founders, especially those serious about long-term sustainability.

The conversation also touched on broader market challenges. A recent TLP Advisory report reveals that many Nigerian startups lack adequate awareness of what it takes to list on the NGX, despite the establishment of the NGX Technology Board in 2022. More than half of surveyed founders (53%) admitted they are not sufficiently familiar with listing requirements. The report warns that the persistent absence of local IPOs threatens long-term value creation within Africa’s largest startup ecosystem.

Ultimately, the message from the roundtable was clear: Nigerian startups must look beyond equity and embrace debt as a strategic tool for sustainable growth. With the right structure, financial discipline, and market understanding, debt can help founders scale smarter, maintain ownership, and build resilient companies positioned for long-term success.

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